2012 Week 7 NFL picks

Last week NFC teams won 4 of 7 interconference games and improved their record against AFC teams to 19-9 this season. There won’t be any AFC versus NFC games in Week 7, but with 6 games between division rivals we can expect another exciting week in the NFL. The first out of 6 division battles will be on Thursday Night with Seahawks travelling to San Francisco for NFC West clash between two 4-2 teams. Here’s my pick for Thursday Night Football game:

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). Seahawks are coming to San Francisco with plenty of confidence gained last Sunday with a win against Patriots. Afer scoring 34 and 45 in previous two weeks, San Francisco scored only 3 points against the Giants last week. When 49ers don’t jump to an early lead they are in trouble. Look for the 49ers to try to control this game early with lots of running plays. It will be a close game, but I think the home team gets the win.
Pick: 49ers 23-20, Result: 49ers 13-6
Against The Spread: Seahawks (+7.5)

Picture: The Instant Replay ©

Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). After two weeks spent out West, Bills are finally at home to face the Titans. Both – Bills and Titans, won last week and will try to get second straight win. I believe that Bills can come up with another win, this time in front of home crowd.
Pick: Bills 27-23, Result: Titans 35-34
Against The Spread: Bills (-3.5)

Cleveland Browns @ Indianapolis Colts, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). In his 2 road games, rookie QB Andrew Luck posted a 52.1 passer rating. He’s been much more efficient when playing at home with a solid 85.4 mark. Colts are at home this week and they play the Browns who are ranked 17th on defensive passer rating, allowing opposing QBs to have an average 88.7 passer rating.
Pick: Colts 30-27, Result: Colts 17-13
Against The Spread: Browns (+3.5)

Green Bay Packers @ St.Louis Rams, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Rams probably wish they could face the Packers some other time during this season. Green Bay played its best game last week and is looking to roll on against the Rams. It will be difficult for the Packers to score 40+ points on the Rams but they’ll get a win on the road.
Pick: Packers 24-13, Result: Packers 30-20
Against The Spread: Packers (-5.5)

Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Due to Kolb’s injury, Cardinals will have John Skelton at QB this Sunday. It won’t make any difference if Cardinals’ O-line plans to plays as poorly as it did in recent weeks. Arizona plays great defense tough but Vikings are at home and behind RB Adrian Peterson they’ll get another win.
Pick: Vikings 23-16, Result: Vikings 21-14
Against The Spread: Vikings (-5.5)

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Giants somehow managed to lose both games against Redskins last year and finished with 3-3 intradivision record. This year they are already 0-2 against NFC East opponents and they can’t afford to lose to Redskins and go 0-3. With QB RGIII, Redskins are more dangerous than last year. Still, Giants will stay focused and win this one at home.
Pick: Giants 31-26, Result: Giants 27-23
Against The Spread: Redskins (+6.5)

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). In both games against the Saints last season, Buccaneers played good enough to win one. It’s obvious that this is an improved Buccaneers team this season, especially on defense. The same can’t be said for Saints who continue to struggle on defense. The Saints are coming off a bye week and had time to rest and prepare which could help them get a win.
Pick: Saints 24-23, Result: Saints 35-28
Against The Spread: Buccaneers (+2.5)

Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). It’s time for the Cowboys to get some wins if they want to be considered as a playoff team. If they can’t beat an average team like Carolina, even if it’s on the road, they probably won’t play January football. QB Tony Romo had an off day last week and should rebound against the Panthers.
Pick: Cowboys 28-24, Result: Cowboys 19-14
Against The Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)

Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). A game between two 5-1 teams who both had its share of bad luck with injuries on defense. Defensively, Ravens don’t play as good as they did last year and with fresh injuries they have a tough task ahead. They’ll have to rely on QB Joe Flacco, the problem is, Flacco doesn’t play really good on the road. Texans are at home and I think they will exploit Ravens’ weaknesses on defense.
Pick: Texans 27-22, Result: Texans 43-13
Against The Spread: Ravens (+6.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Oakland Raiders, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Last week Raiders almost came up with an upset playing against undefeated Falcons on the road. This time they are at home and playing versus one of the worst teams in the NFL. Jacksonville Jaguars had a bye week and could cause problems to Raiders’ run defense but I don’t see them get a win.
Pick: Raiders 24-21, Result: Raiders 26-23 (OT)
Against The Spread: Jaguars (+4.5)

New York Jets @ New England Patriots, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). After Week 6 all 4 teams from AFC East have a 3-3 record. Parity at its best, or maybe it is mediocrity? Anyway, Patriots are playing at home where they normally don’t lose to the Jets. Jets won’t go down easy as they’ll fight for division lead.
Pick: Patriots 27-19, Result: Patriots 29-26 (OT)
Against The Spread: Jets (+10.5) 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). Things could get ugly for both teams if they lose another game, especially for Pittsburgh. Games within division are always very intense and this won’t be any different. Both teams struggled recently on defensive side of the ball and I see the Steelers making more plays on Sunday Night.
Pick: Steelers 30-25, Result: Steelers 24-17
Against The Spread: Steelers (-2.5) 

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). On Monday Night, Chicago Bears will show they are one of the best teams in the NFL, at least at this point of the season. They are rested and will be ready to beat the Lions who won’t come close enough to get a win against division rival.
Pick: Bears 28-20, Result: Bears 13-6
Against The Spread: Bears (-5.5)

Bye Week: Atlanta Falcons, Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Philadelphia Eagles, San Diego Chargers

Week 6 record straight-up: 8-6
Overall: 55-36

Against The Spread: 8-6
Overall: 49-42