2012 Week 13 NFL picks

With the exception of this week’s Thursday Night Football, all the rest of the regular season games will be played in the month of December. In this final month we will get to see which of 32 NFL teams will also be playing in January. There are 12 playoff spots up for grabs and 5 teams can clinch it in Week 13. Week 13 will start with a division rematch between New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons. Here’s my pick for TNF game:

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). There are a lot of things pointing towards Falcons’ win this Thursday Night. The Falcons are playing at home on a short week and would love to revenge the loss earlier in the season against division rival New Orleans Saints who have issues on O-line. The Saints are a desperate team and I’m going against the favorite in this game. I think Saints get the win and extend their slim chances to make the playoffs.
Pick: Saints 28-26, Result: Falcons 23-13
Against The Spread: Saints (+3.5)

Photo: Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Jaguars @ BillsJacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Jacksonville has played much better over the past couple of weeks with solid performances of QB Chad Henne. The Bills will try to slow down the Jaguars and pound the ground against their suspect run defense. Difficult to decide but I’ll go with a home team with a better running game.
Pick: Bills 28-23, Result: Bills 34-18
Against The Spread: Jaguars (+6.5)

Seahawks @ BearsSeattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Tough task for the 6-5 Seahawks to beat the Bears on the road. Seahawks are 1-5 this season in games away from home and Chicago’s defense plays great, especially at home. Bears win and stay on top of NFC North division.
Pick: Bears 24-20, Result: Seahawks 23-17 (OT)
Against The Spread: Seahawks (+4.5) 

Colts @ LionsIndianapolis Colts @ Detroit Lions, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Indianapolis Colts improved a lot in Andrew Luck’s first season as a pro. Still, I don’t think they are as good as their record shows. They’ve played much better at home than on the road and I can see them lose this one on the road against Detroit Lions.
Pick: Lions 23-20, Result: Colts 35-33
Against The Spread: Colts (+4.5)

8Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). With a loss against defending champions NY Giants, the Packers dropped from 1st to 2nd place in NFC North division. If they want to win the division they can’t afford to lose against division rival Minnesota Vikings. With healthier receivers look for the Packers to bounce back with a win against the Vikings.
Pick: Packers 30-21, Result: Packers 23-14
Against The Spread: Vikings (+9.5) 

7Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Texans allowed 34 points per game in their last 2 games, but have played extremely well on offense. With a few extra days of rest Houston should get another win against the Titans who didn’t look good against the Jaguars last week.
Pick: Texans 26-20, Result: Texans 24-10
Against The Spread: Texans (-5.5) 

10Carolina Panthers @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Kansas City Chiefs – the worst team in the NFL are shocked with sad news coming out of Arrowhead facilities. The Chiefs can’t produce anything on offense lately and I think this tragedy won’t help them a bit. The only reason I think this could be a close game is because Kansas City plays at home and Chiefs’ defense showed last week they can play solid football.
Pick: Panthers 23-21, Result: Chiefs 27-21
Against The Spread: Chiefs (+3.5)

6San Francisco 49ers @ St.Louis Rams, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Rams and the 49ers tied in a game played in San Francisco back in Week 10. For the 49ers it felt more like a loss and they would like to get a win against the Rams who are also 3-0-1 within NFC West. With a more dynamic offense and improved run defense the 49ers should return from St. Louis with a win and advance to 9-2-1 for the season.
Pick: 49ers 27-17, Result: Rams 16-13 (OT)
Against The Spread: 49ers (-7.5)

3New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Patriots are averaging 47.5 points in the last 4 games and are on pace to break NFL record for most points scored in a single season. The Dolphins have been an up-and-down team lately and I’m not sure if they can beat the Patriots at home. They might limit them to ‘just’ 30 points but in the end New England will have too much for the Dolphins.
Pick: Patriots 31-23, Result: Patriots 23-16
Against The Spread: Patriots (-7.5)

9Arizona Cardinals @ New York Jets, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). I think it’s safe to say the Jets aren’t playing great football but they should have enough to beat the Cardinals who seem to have even bigger issues at quarterback. I anticipate low-scoring game in which home team gets the win.
Pick: Jets 20-16, Result: Jets 7-6
Against The Spread: Cardinals (+4.5)

11Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Denver Broncos, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). A tough spot to play for the Buccaneers who are used to play at much lower altitude when playing at home. The Bucs do have a weapon to battle good Denver’s defense and that’s their ground game. The Bucs could be dangerous if they can jump to a big lead early in the game. That’s a big if, with a win the Broncos will clinch AFC West division title.
Pick: Broncos 27-23, Result: Broncos 31-23
Against The Spread: Buccaneers (+6.5) 

12Cleveland Browns @ Oakland Raiders, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). A battle of two 3-8 teams probably isn’t a game an average NFL fan would be excited about. The Raiders lost 4 straight and will be looking to end the streak with a win at home. The Browns are 0-5 on the road this season and had to travel cross-country. I’m going with a home team in this one, Raiders win.
Pick: Raiders 30-27, Result: Browns 20-17
Against The Spread: Raiders (-0.5)

13Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). After they’ve won 3 straight, the Bengals are scheduled to play the Chargers who lost 3 straight. The Chargers are an underdog in this one which explains a lot about Norv Turner’s team. Somehow I think the Chargers will limit their mistakes and win at home after an overtime loss to the Ravens last week.
Pick: Chargers 20-17, Result: Bengals 20-13
Against The Spread: Chargers (+1.5)

14Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). QB Ben Roethlisberger is ruled out and won’t be ready to play against the Ravens. QB Joe Flacco will play for the Ravens and he’s been much better when playing at home. Baltimore vs Pittsburgh are almost always close games despite all the circumstances, and I think this one will be no different.
Pick: Ravens 24-21, Result: Steelers 23-20
Against The Spread: Steelers (+6.5)

15Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). QB Tony Romo must feel pretty pleased he has to face Eagles this week. In the last 5 games, Eagles’ defense allowed opposing QBs to post 120+ passer rating. That’s an unbelievable fact, look for the Cowboys to have a big day on offense against Philadelphia.
Pick: Cowboys 28-17, Result: Cowboys 38-33
Against The Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)

16New York Giants @ Washington Redskins, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). The Giants are winning again when it counts. That was a great performance against the Packers in Week 12. With a win against Redskins on Monday Night they can get a step closer of clinching NFC East division. In Week 7 the Redskins came close and almost upset the Giants, could be another close game in which the Giants will come out victorious again.
Pick: Giants 24-23, Result: Redskins 17-16
Against The Spread: Redskins (+2.5)

Week 12 record straight-up: 11-5
Overall: 115-60-1

Against The Spread: 9-7
Overall: 93-83


Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s