2012 Week 11 NFL picks

This week we’ll see 7 division clashes starting with the battle between Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night. I’ll post my picks later this week, first here’s my pick for Thursday Night Football game:

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). After 4-3 start Miami lost 2 straight and is back under 0.500 mark with little chances of making the playoffs. There are still plenty of games left, the first one against division rival Buffalo Bills. Bills lost 3 straight and will try to end their losing streak. I had hard time to decide, but I’ll go with team with better defense.
Pick: Dolphins 27-24, Result: Bills 19-14
Against The Spread: Dolphins (+1.5)

Photo: buffalobills.com

Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Last week Atlanta Falcons lost for the first time this season. Cardinals on the other hand are coming off a bye week and will be ready to play especially on defense. Unfortunately for Arizona Cardinals they will have too little on offense to upset Atlanta.
Pick: Falcons 24-16, Result: Falcons 23-19
Against The Spread: Cardinals (+9.5)

Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). After an important win on the road against division rival, Dallas is back home to face a tough Cleveland team. The Browns had an extra week to prepare for this game during a bye week. Mr.November an the rest of the Cowboys should have enough to beat the Browns but it won’t be easy.
Pick: Cowboys 26-20, Result: Cowboys 23-20 (OT)
Against The Spread: Browns (+7.5)

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Lions lost a must-win game last week against Minnesota. Detroit now have to face Green Bay Packers who have plenty of players on injury list but will come out of their bye week a bit healthier. QB Aaron Rodgers is experienced enough to lead his team to another victory.
Pick: Packers 30-23, Result: Packers 24-20
Against The Spread: Packers (-3.5)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Bengals finally won a game against a team with winning record. Last week they beat the Giants in surprisingly comfortable fashion. This is a potential trap game for Cincinnati. The Chiefs showed last Monday Night that they can play solid defense but somehow always find a way to lose a game.
Pick: Bengals 20-17, Result: Bengals 28-6
Against The Spread: Chiefs (+3.5) 

New York Jets @ St.Louis Rams, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Last week Rams had a chance to steal one in San Francisco but had to settle for a tie. Still, Rams have to feel pretty good about the way they’ve played the majority of last week’s game and will have the confidence needed to beat the Jets at home. WR Danny Amendola is back from injury and Rams play much better when he’s in the lineup.
Pick: Rams 23-13, Result: Jets 27-13
Against The Spread: Rams (-3.5)  

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Washington is the 4th team this season, the Eagles have to face, who had two weeks to prepare to play Philadelphia. The Redskins had a week off and will be at home facing the Eagles and their rookie QB Nick Foles. Redskins should have the edge in this game with a rookie QB of their own who has a lot more experience in the NFL.
Pick: Redskins 27-24, Result: Redskins 31-6
Against The Spread: Eagles (+3.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Back in Week 1 the Buccaneers limited the Panthers who managed to score just 10 points. QB Cam Newton had 300+ passing yards game which wasn’t enough for a win. This week I expect a lot more points to be scored, but it will be Tampa Bay again who will be on top.
Pick: Buccaneers 31-26, Result: Buccaneers 27-21 (OT)
Against The Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5) 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Texans are again big favorites to win in this game. I have no doubts that they will win and advance to 9-1. Houston is also 3-0 ATS so far in the season when favored by 10+ points. Maybe they can beat double-digit spread for the 4th time this season.
Pick: Texans 27-9, Result: Texans 43-37 (OT)
Against The Spread: Texans (-15.5) 

New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Another potential trap game for a visiting team this week. After an important win against division rival the Saints now have to travel West to play the Raiders. In the past Oakland showed they can hung in games till the end and I think they’ll do it again.
Pick: Saints 31-28, Result: Saints 38-17
Against The Spread: Raiders (+4.5)

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). In Week 6 on MNF Chargers blew a 24-0 halftime lead. Broncos ended up winning that game 35-24 and will be looking to beat the Chargers for the second time this season.  San Diego won’t go down without a fight but I think Denver has the better and more efficient QB which will eventually be the difference.
Pick: Broncos 27-23, Result Broncos 30-23
Against The Spread: Chargers (+7.5) 

Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). With a 6-3 record Indianapolis currently holds wild-card playoff spot. They’ve won 4 straight and have to face another 6-3 team – New England Patriots. Colts haven’t played as good on the road and they’ll get some sort of reality check this Sunday.
Pick: Patriots 34-21, Result: Patriots 59-24
Against The Spread: Patriots (-9.5)

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). I was looking forward to see this fight for division title between Ravens and Steelers. With QB Ben Roethlisberger out I don’t think Steelers have a chance to win the game even if it is played in Pittsburgh.
Pick: Ravens 23-16, Result: Ravens 13-10
Against The Spread: Ravens (+3.5)

Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). The Bears starting QB Jay Cutler is out and 49ers listed QB Alex Smith as questionable for Monday Night. Both teams have great defenses which will make life difficult for whomever starts the game at QB. This game could be decided by plays on special teams. It will be a battle for field position all night and I can see Bears win this battle thanks to their superior special teams unit.
Pick: Bears 17-13, Result: 49ers 32-7
Against The Spread: Bears (+4.5)

Bye Week: Minnesota Vikings, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans

Week 10 record straight-up: 8-5-1
Overall: 93-52-1

Against The Spread: 6-8
Overall: 77-69


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