2012 Week 10 NFL picks

There are 5 interconference matchups on schedule in Week 10, but non bigger than a Sunday Night clash between Houston Texans and Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, Chicago. NFC currently holds a 23-13 record against teams from AFC and we will see if the NFC can maintain its dominance over AFC. Week 10 starts on Thursday Night with a division game between Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars. My pick for Thursday Night Football game:

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). The Jaguars managed to win only one game this season and they did it against the Colts in Week 3. This time around Jacksonville will be without RB Maurice-Jones Drew which will help Indianapolis focus on pass defense more than they could afford if MJD was in the lineup. It’s a short week on the road for the Colts but they will get a win and advance to 6-3.
Pick: Colts 24-16, Result: Colts 27-10
Against The Spread: Colts (-3.5)

Photo: Joe Robbins/Getty Images

New York Giants @ Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Last week the Bengals lost to Denver and QB Peyton Manning, this time they’ll have to face his younger brother Eli who hasn’t played good lately. Against Bengals’ defense there’s a good chance he’ll play much better. The Giants have too much offense for Cincinnati and should win this one on the road.
Pick: Giants 27-22, Result: Bengals 31-13
Against The Spread: Giants (-4.5)

Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Miami Dolphins have played exceptionally good on defense and with Tennessee coming to town they might have their best offensive performance of this season. Rookie QB Ryan Tannehill could have his best game so far. With a win at home the Dolphins will get back above 0.500.
Pick: Dolphins 27-20, Result: Titans 37-3
Against The Spread: Dolphins (-6.5)

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Minnesota managed to beat the Lions earlier this season in Week 4 thanks to 2 return touchdowns on special teams. Vikings averaged only 19 point per game in their last 3 games. Look for the Lions to get revenge and beat the Vikings away from home.
Pick: Lions 28-23, Result: Vikings 34-24
Against The Spread: Lions (-2.5)

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). I really don’t see how could the Bills win in this game on the road against division rival. The question is, can the Patriots cover the spread? Already twice this season the Patriots were double-digit point favorites and in both cases they didn’t cover the spread.
Pick: Patriots 29-20, Result: Patriots 37-31
Against The Spread: Bills (+11.5)

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Last week I picked Dallas to beat the Falcons to end their winning streak. This week I just can’t go against the Falcons. The players still remember the show Saints put on in a record-breaking game by QB Drew Brees last season. Saints’ problems on defense didn’t disappeared over last few days, Falcons advance to 9-0.
Pick: Falcons 27-24, Result: Saints 31-27
Against The Spread: Falcons (-2.5) 

San Diego Chargers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Chargers had few extra days to prepare for their cross-country trip to Florida. Just like the Raiders they get to play early game which is a big disadvantage for West Coast teams. The Bucs will take advantage of their balanced offense but this game could be a lot closer than many people think.
Pick: Buccaneers 26-23, Result: Buccaneers 34-24
Against The Spread: Chargers (+3.5)

Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). In their last 3 games the Broncos scored more than 30 points. They’ll probably score 30+ again against the Panthers. QB Cam Newton and the Panthers will try to keep up but they won’t outscore the Broncos.
Pick: Broncos 30-23, Result: Broncos 36-14
Against The Spread: Broncos (-3.5)

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Raiders have to travel cross-country for a 1PM ET game for the 3rd time this season. The last time they travelled far East they almost upset the Falcons. This time they’ll be without RB Darren McFadden and I don’t think QB Carson Palmer and the rest of the Raiders can pull an upset without their top running back in the lineup.
Pick: Ravens 27-17, Result: Ravens 55-20
Against The Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

New York Jets @ Seattle Seahawks, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). The Seahawks have yet to lose a game at home so far in the season, they are 4-0 in front of their home crowd. It will be tough for the Jets to get a win out of Seattle with their awful passing attack.
Pick: Seahawks 24-16, Result: Seahawks 28-7 
Against The Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Division game between two similar teams with a 3-5 record. Both teams can’t afford another loss, especially against division rival. Hard to decide who will end up victorious, maybe it’s the Cowboys who will make fewer mistakes.
Pick: Cowboys 24-17, Result: Cowboys 38-23
Against The Spread: Cowboys (+1.5) 

St.Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). The Rams and the 49ers are both coming off a bye week. The Rams lost big against the Patriots in London and they probably won’t allow 40+ points against 49ers’ offense but they also won’t score many points against 49ers’ defense.
Pick: 49ers 23-10, Result: Tie 24-24 (OT)
Against The Spread: 49ers (-11.5)

Houston Texans @ Chicago Bears, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). Game of the week between two 7-1 teams. This is also the only game this week with both teams holding a winning record. Both teams also play great defense and it should be a close low-scoring game.
Pick: Bears 19-16, Result: Texans 13-6
Against The Spread: Bears (-1.5)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). It’s been a long time since the Steelers played the Chiefs at home. Back in 2006 the Steelers were favored by 6.5 points against the Chiefs and won big, 45-7. Todd Haley would love it if something similar happens on Monday Night.
Pick: Steelers 31-17, Result: Steelers 16-13 (OT)
Against The Spread: Steelers (-12.5)

Bye Week: Arizona Cardinals, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Washington Redskins

Week 9 record straight-up: 9-5
Overall: 85-47

Against The Spread: 8-6
Overall: 71-61

2 thoughts on “2012 Week 10 NFL picks

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