2012 Week 6 NFL picks

In Week 5 there were 7 interconference games, with NFC winning 5 of those 7. So far in the season, NFC teams have won 15 out of 21 interconference games. This week there are another 7 interconference games on NFL schedule (Chiefs @ Buccaneers, Raiders @ Falcons, Rams @ Dolphins, Cowboys @ Ravens, Patriots @ Seahawks, Bills @ Cardinals, Packers @ Texans). Week 6 will start with a battle between two AFC teams, Steelers @ Titans on Thursday Night, here’s my pick:

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). Pittsburgh has its problems with injuries on defense but with RB Rashard Mendenhall back they have a chance to win despite playing on the road on short week. Steelers have yet to win on the road and so far this season home teams are 3-1 on Thursday Night Football. Seems like Titans can’t stop anyone, and they probably won’t stop the Steelers.
Pick: Steelers 27-23, Result: Titans 26-23
Against The Spread: Titans (+5.5)

Photo: sports.yahoo.com

Oakland Raiders @ Atlanta Falcons, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Raiders are coming off a bye week well rested but they have to travel cross-country for the second time this season. Again they have to play 1 PM game which is 10 AM Pacific Time. Good teams can overcome that but lately Raiders haven’t played good football, Falcons win and go to 6-0.
Pick: Falcons 34-24, Result: Falcons 23-20
Against The Spread: Falcons (-8.5)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). I know it’s still early in the season, but I feel like Bengals hurt their chances to make the 2012 playoffs last week with a home loss to Miami. Next for Cincinnati is division rival Cleveland. This Sunday, Browns could finally win their first game of the season.
Pick: Browns 24-23, Result: Browns: 34-24
Against The Spread: Browns (+2.5)

St.Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). This will be another close and low-scoring game as Rams and Dolphins both play much better on defense. Actually, I think Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill might have bigger success against St.Louis and will lead his team to a home victory.
Pick: Dolphins 20-17, Result: Dolphins 17-14
Against The Spread: Rams (+3.5)

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). That was an emotional win for the Colts last week. Now they have to play on the road against wounded Jets who are desperate for a win to keep pace with the Patriots in AFC East division. Jets showed last Monday Night they can play defense even without star CB Darrelle Revis, but they must get something going on offense too.
Pick: Jets 26-24, Result: Jets 35-9 
Against The Spread: Colts (+3.5)

Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Lions are another team coming off a bye week and they have to travel to Philadelphia. Not a perfect match-up for Detroit facing Eagles team who will look to get back on track after close loss last week against Pittsburgh. As long as QB Michael Vick can protect the football Philadelphia shouldn’t have problems in this one.
Pick: Eagles 27-19, Result: Lions 26-23 (OT)
Against The Spread: Eagles (-5.5)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Buccaneers too had a week off, they will be well rested and ready to play the Chiefs who will be without their starting QB Matt Cassel. I expect the Chiefs to pound the ball, Tampa Bay has to be ready to play run defense and stop the Chiefs, I think they’ll be ready.
Pick: Buccaneers 26-20, Result: Buccaneers 38-10 
Against The Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Baltimore got away with an ugly win in Kansas City last week. They allowed 214 yards on the ground which doesn’t happen very often. Ravens are completely different team at home and I expect them to bounce back against Dallas. Cowboys will try to take advantage of their bye week but will fall short.
Pick: Ravens 24-17, Result: Ravens 31-29
Against The Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). After a big loss to San Francisco, Buffalo Bills stayed in Arizona before the game against Cardinals. Bills have some serious problems, especially on defense and I’m not sure they could be fixed in just one week. Arizona played on Thursday Night last week and had extra time to prepare.
Pick: Cardinals 23-17, Result: Bills 19-16 (OT)
Against The Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)

New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Seahawks will have home field advantage and their defense to keep them in this game against New England. Patriots won’t score many points, but 20 points may win them this game as Seattle averages only 17 points per game on offense.
Pick: Patriots 20-17, Result: Seahawks 24-23
Against The Spread: Seahawks (+3.5)

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). San Francisco 49ers will try to get some sort of revenge in a rematch of last year’s NFC championship game. San Francisco is one of the most balanced teams on offense this year and play especially well when they get the lead early on in the game. It will be crucial for them to score first and force the Giants to play catch up.
Pick: 49ers 28-21, Result: Giants 26-3
Against The Spread: 49ers (-5.5)

Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Redskins could be without rookie QB RGIII who suffered ‘mild’ concussion last week. If he plays Washington has a chance against Vikings even if they will take more conservative approach. Vikings are playing great on defense and if RGIII can’t go I’ll pick the Vikings, but at this point I think rookie QB plays which means Redskins win.
Pick: Redskins 26-20, Result: Redskins 38-26
Against The Spread: Redskins (-2.5)

Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). When Packers don’t play good on offense they are in big trouble because they don’t have the defense to bail them out. Texans looked like the most complete team in the NFL, but we’ll see how they’ll play after the injury of their centerpiece on defense – LB Brian Cushing. I think they’ll do enough to get away with a win on Sunday Night.
Pick: Texans 27-25, Result: Packers 42-24
Against The Spread: Packers (+3.5)

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). On Monday Night Denver has a chance to catch up with the Chargers in a race for first place in AFC West division. They can’t afford to lose to San Diego and fall further behind. QB Peyton Manning will have a good game and lead his team to victory on the road.
Pick: Broncos 26-23, Result: Broncos 35-24
Against The Spread: Broncos (+2.5)

Bye Week: Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints

Week 5 record straight-up: 11-3
Overall: 47-30

Against The Spread: 8-6
Overall: 41-36


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