2012 Week 5 NFL picks

We are headed into the second month of 2012 NFL season. Week 5 will start with a division battle between two franchises who both re-located a couple of times in their NFL history, Cardinals @ Rams on Thursday Night, here’s my pick:

Arizona Cardinals @ St.Louis Rams, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). Cardinals have a respectful 11-2 record in their last 13 regular season games. In those 13 games, 5 were decided in overtime, Arizona’s won all 5 of them. I expect another close game as the Cardinals visit division rival, could be Arizona runs out of luck this time around.
Pick: Rams 20-17, Result: Rams 17-3
Against The Spread: Rams (+1.5)

Picture: The Instant Replay ©

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Another team that almost certainly won’t make the playoffs is on the menu for the Bengals. The Dolphins showed so far that they’ll be a tough opponent for any team and they’ll be in this game against Cincinnati, but it will be home team that gets the win.
Pick: Bengals 24-20, Result: Dolphins 17-13
Against The Spread: Dolphins (+4.5)

Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Packers are getting better on offense, at least they are scoring more points. Against Colts’ defense maybe they can score 30+ for the first time this season. QB Andrew Luck will try to keep pace with Packers’ offense which is easier said than done.
Pick: Packers 31-24, Result: Colts 30-27
Against The Spread: Colts (+7.5)

Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). After playing on Thursday Night football last week, Ravens had a few extra days to prepare for the Chiefs. This could spell trouble for Kansas City Chiefs QB Matt Cassel. Baltimore will force turnovers which will give its offense good field position to score point.
Pick: Ravens 27-21, Result: Ravens 9-6
Against The Spread: Ravens (-4.5)

Cleveland Browns @ New York Giants, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). After a disappointing loss to division rival Philadelphia, next for the Giants are the winless Browns. Seems like a perfect opponent for the Giants to get back on track and go above 0.500 again. Browns won’t leave MetLife Stadium without a fight, but they will fall short and will stay winless after Week 5 .
Pick: Giants 26-19, Result: Giants 41-27
Against The Spread: Browns (+9.5)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Steelers had 2 weeks to prepare for this game and they are getting some key players, especially on defense, back in the lineup. Eagles on the other hand are coming off a win against the Giants and feeling pretty confident. I think home team gets a win in a close game.
Pick: Steelers 24-23, Result: Steelers 16-14
Against The Spread: Eagles (+3.5)

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Atlanta has the weapons to exploit weak Redskins’ secondary but they also showed their own weaknesses on defense. Just like QB Cam Newton, rookie QB RGIII could have a great game against the Falcons. The feeling is, it won’t be enough as Atlanta advances to 5-0.
Pick: Falcons 30-27, Result: Falcons 24-17 
Against The Spread: Redskins (+3.5)

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Seahawks play great on defense and they’ll pack their defense along when they visit the Panthers. In order to win against Carolina they’ll have to get it going also on offense and try to pound the ground more. I think QB Cam Newton and the Panthers will find a way to score against Seattle’s defense just enough points to get a win at home.
Pick: Panthers 23-20, Result: Seahawks 16-12
Against The Spread: Seahawks (+3.5)

Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). It’s crucial for a road team to play good on defense and  the Bears have one of the best defenses in the league. Look for them to limit the Jaguars as they’ll force Jacksonville to make mistakes on offense.
Pick: Bears 23-13, Result: Bears 41-3
Against The Spread: Bears (-5.5)

Tennessee Titans @ Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Vikings find a way to win games this season. Behind reliable RB Adrian Peterson they’ll find a way to beat the Titans who have plenty of problems on defense. Titans will start QB Matt Hasselbeck on offense which also doesn’t help Tennessee going against Vikings’ solid pass rush.
Pick: Vikings 28-23, Result: Vikings 30-7
Against The Spread: Titans (+5.5)

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Plenty of talk about Manning vs Brady this week, Peyton Manning has lost the majority of games playing against Brady’s team and he could be on the losing side again this Sunday as Broncos defense won’t be able to stop the Patriots.
Pick: Patriots 29-26, Result: Patriots 31-21
Against The Spread: Broncos (+6.5)

Buffalo Bills @ San Francisco 49ers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Remember the No Punt game back in 1992 when Bills played the 49ers in San Francisco? I think its safe to say that we won’t see anything like it Sunday at Candlestick Park. Both punters will get their share of playing time. San Francisco plays at home after 2 away games and they’ll take advantage of it.
Pick: 49ers 28-17, Result: 49ers 45-3
Against The Spread: 49ers (-9.5)

San Diego Chargers @ New Orleans Saints, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). I picked New Orleans to win the NFC South division and it doesn’t look good for the 0-4 Saints so far. The Saints won’t go 0-16 either so this game at home might be a good opportunity to get their first win of the season.
Pick: Saints 34-29, Result: Saints 31-24
Against The Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Houston Texans @ New York Jets, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). Jets were dominated by the 49ers last week. It doesn’t get any easier for the Jets this week when they have to play Houston who is even better on defense. Houston also plays good on offense which means Jets could be dominated again. The question is how many points will they surrender against the Texans.
Pick: Texans 27-16, Result: Texans 23-17
Against The Spread: Texans (-7.5)

Bye Week: Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Oakland Raiders, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 4 record straight-up: 11-4
Overall: 36-27

Against The Spread: 7-8
Overall: 33-30


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