2012 Week 4 NFL picks

It was a wild Week 3 in the NFL with lots of upsets and unfortunately lots of mistakes by the replacement refs. Good news is, the NFL and referees’ union finally reached an agreement. Regular officials will be back on the field, starting Thursday Night. To start my Week 4 picks, here’s a prediction of TNF game.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens, Thursday 8:20 PM (ET). Carolina lost its home game on Thursday Night last week but I’ll stick with home team here. At this point, I’d go with the Ravens any time any place playing against Browns team who haven’t won a single game this season and have plenty of problems, especially on defense.
Pick: Ravens 27-16, Result: 23-16
Against The Spread: Browns (+12.5)

Photo: clevelandbrowns.com

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Right now Falcons seem like the best team in the NFC. Atlanta is averaging 30+ points per game and I can see Falcons score 30+ on Panthers who allowed 26+ points per game so far through Week 3 in the NFL. I expect big day from QB Matt Ryan and his receivers.
Pick: Falcons 34-23, Result: Falcons 30-28
Against The Spread: Falcons (-7.5)

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). It’s early on in the NFL but this is a big September game between this two division rivals. If Patriots lose this one, they fall to 1-3, on the other hand, with a win Bills would advance to 3-1. I think coach Belichick will get his team ready, but look for the Bills to be in the game till the end.
Pick: Patriots 27-24, Result: Patriots 52-28
Against The Spread: Bills (+3.5)

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Minnesota Vikings are travelling to Detroit with a lot of confidence after they handled the 49ers at home last Sunday. RB Adrian Peterson might have a huge game against not so stout Lions’ run defense and if QB Ponder can play another mistake-free game we might see another upset win from the Vikings.
Pick: Vikings 28-25, Result: Vikings 20-13
Against The Spread: Vikings (+6.5)

San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Really tough game to predict, Chargers disappointed in a loss at home against the Falcons and the Chiefs managed to came up with an overtime win against dreadful Saints. When in doubt go with a home team, right? Right.
Pick: Chiefs 26-23, Result: Chargers 37-20
Against The Spread: Chiefs (+0.5)

Seattle Seahawks @ St.Louis Rams, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). This is as subjective as I could ever get. After what happened on MNF I want to see Seahawks lose this one badly, possibly in a last-second-hail-mary-TD kind of fashion. Go Rams.
Pick: Rams 20-17, Result: Rams 19-13
Against The Spread: Rams (+2.5)

San Francisco 49ers @ New York Jets, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Just like last year, 49ers stayed in Youngstown, Ohio for a back-to-back away game (please somebody tell this to Pete Prisco). It will be interesting to see how will the 49ers respond after first loss of the season. Controlling the line of scrimmage will be key. San Francisco will look to bounce back and get back on track with another good ground game.
Pick: 49ers 24-21, Result: 49ers 34-0
Against The Spread: Jets (+3.5)

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Titans are awful on defense, allowing almost 40 points per game. Not a good thing if you are travelling to one of the most complete teams in the NFL. Texans will get this one with ease.
Pick: Texans 30-17, Result: 38-14
Against The Spread: Texans (-12.5)

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Raiders showed they have some potential with a win vs Steelers at home. Now they play division rival away from home. The last 4 seasons Raiders always came up with a win when playing Mile High above sea level. This time I think the home team will be too much for Oakland.
Pick: Broncos 26-20, Result: Broncos 37-6
Against The Spread: Raiders (+6.5)

Miami Dolphins @ Arizona Cardinals, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Before the season started I was thinking Arizona is the worst team in not so strong NFC West. What we’ve learned so far is quite the opposite, with strong defense and favorable schedule Cardinals could be the surprise team of the NFL. At least for now.
Pick: Cardinals 23-16, Result: Cardinals 24-21 (OT)
Against The Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday 4:05 PM (ET). Bengals are having a 2011 type of season, they keep winning against teams they are supposed to win. Next for the Bengals are the Jaguars who are playing with improved play at QB. Cincinnati has more playmakers on offense which will be the difference in this game.
Pick: Bengals 24-19, Result: Bengals 27-10
Against The Spread: Bengals (-1.5)

New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). This could be a game in which Packers’ offense finally clicks. QB Aaron Rodgers didn’t have a really good game since last December and with Saints defense coming to Title town, this could change.
Pick: Packers 30-20, Result: Packers 28-27
Against The Spread: Packers (-7.5)

Washington Redskins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). I really like what Greg Schiano’s been able to do with his team so far. With improved defense Tampa will be too much for Washington Redskins who unlike Buccaneers, have lots of problems on defense.
Pick: Buccaneers 28-23, Result: Redskins 24-22
Against The Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). Eagles are averaging 4 turnovers per game, Giants on the other hand are +4 in turnover ratio. If QB Michael Vick continues to play his dangerous style of football, Eagles really don’t stand a chance against well-coached team from New York.
Pick: Giants 27-23, Result: Eagles 19-17
Against The Spread: Giants (+2.5)

Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys, Monday 8:30 PM (ET). This will be another tough night for Bears’ QB Jay Cutler. Dallas will try to disrupt Chicago’s offensive rhythm and go after QB Cutler. The Bears will try to do the same with QB Romo who will handle the pressure better than Cutler.
Pick: Cowboys 23-20, Result: Bears 34-18
Against The Spread: Bears (+3.5)

Bye Week: Indianapolis Colts, Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 3 record straight-up: 7-9
Overall: 25-23

Against The Spread: 9-7
Overall: 26-22


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