2012 Week 1 NFL picks

Here are the rest of Week 1 picks in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants, Wednesday 8:30 PM (ET). Since 2004, NFL kick offs on Thursdays with defending Super Bowl champions playing at home. The reigning champions are 8-0 in those games. This year the season starts on Wednesday and the Giants will try to extend the trend against division rivals from Texas.
Pick: Giants 25-23, Result: Cowboys 24-17
Against The Spread: Cowboys(+3.5)

Indianapolis Colts @ Chicago Bears, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). This will be only the 4th time that Colts have to travel to Chicago since they’ve relocated from Baltimore to Indianapolis in 1984. Rookie QB Andrew Luck will have a couple of ‘welcome to the NFL’ moments facing Bears’ defense. Many think the Bears are capable of stealing the NFC North crown from the Packers so they can’t afford to drop a game against the Colts.
Pick: Bears 27-17, Result: Bears 41-21
Against The Spread: Colts (+10.5)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Cleveland Browns, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). In the past 7 NFL seasons the Browns didn’t manage to win the first game of the regular season. They will keep the trend going  as Eagles take this one easily.

Pick: Eagles 26-10, Result: Eagles 17-16
Against The Spread: Eagles (-8.5)

St.Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET).  It wasn’t so long ago since the Rams visited the Lions. It was in 2010 when QB Shaun Hill ripped the Rams apart. This time around it will be Matthew Stafford leading the way for the Lions. I’m not sure if it will be as brutal as in 2010 but the result will be the same, Lions win.
Pick: Lions 24-17, Result: Lions 27-23
Against The Spread: Rams (+8.5)

New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Speaking of first games in the season, Patriots haven’t lost Week 1 game in the past 8 years. This year Patriots are again favorites to win AFC East division and one of the favorites to represent AFC in the Super Bowl. Titans will be a tough opponent for Patriots on the road, but in the end Patriots will find a way to win.
Pick: Patriots 27-20, Result: Patriots 34-13
Against The Spread: Patriots (-6.5)

Atlanta Falcons @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). In just 3 games in franchise history against Atlanta at home, Chiefs allowed no more than 10 points in each game and have won all 3 games. Of course that has nothing to do with 2012 Chiefs or Falcons, but I got a feeling that Chiefs might limit Falcons’ offensive weapons just enough to win the home-opener again, just like they did back in 1991 when they beat the Falcons 14-3.
Pick: Chiefs 24-23, Result: Falcons 40-24
Against The Spread: Chiefs (+0.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). Lately, both teams were good at stopping opponents’ run game, so in order to have a chance to win they’ll have to turn to their air-attack. It will be a battle of two second year QBs, Ponder vs Gabbert. The Jaguars’ pass defense will be the difference.
Pick: Jaguars 23-20, Result: Vikings 26-23 (OT)
Against The Spread: Jaguars (+4.5)

Washington Redskins @ New Orleans Saints, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Redskins travel to New Orleans to play the Saints who received some positive news regarding bounty scandal. Last year the Saints didn’t lose a game at home all season. With rookie QB RGIII Redskins seem like a perfect match for Saints’ team to open the new season.
Pick: Saints 34-23, Result: Redskins 40-32
Against The Spread: Saints (-9.5)

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). The Bills opened-up 2011 season strong, it might be quite the opposite this year. The Jets were a laughing-stock of the NFL during preseason. They looked terrible on offense, but with solid defense they can keep games close right to the end. Hard to decide, but when in doubt, I’ll go with a home team.
Pick: Jets 19-16, Result: Jets 48-28
Against The Spread: Bills (+3.5)

Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans, Sunday 1:00 PM (ET). ‘Hard knocks’ episodes might well be the highlight of 2012 Miami Dolphins team. Can’t see a scenario in which the Dolphins would win this game on the road. They will receive an unfriendly welcome from the Super Bowl bound team from Texas.
Pick: Texans 27-12, Result: Texans 30-10
Against The Spread: Texans (-7.5)

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). The last time 49ers won a game against the Packers at Lambeau Field was in 1990. Back in the day Joe Montana was tossing TD passes to Jerry Rice and John Taylor. San Francisco doesn’t have such playmakers on the team anymore, but they did get better on offense in the offseason. Still, I can’t see how they can upset the Packers who have a lot to prove.
Pick: Packers 23-19, Result: 49ers 30-22
Against The Spread: 49ers (+6.5)

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Seattle looks like a better team, its true that they will start rookie QB Wilson, but on the other hand Cardinals’ QB situation is a mess. John Skelton did shine a couple of times last season but Seahawks now know what to expect from him. Low scoring game, Seattle comes out with a win on the road.
Pick: Seahawks 14-10, Result: Cardinals 20-16
Against The Spread: Seahawks (+1.5)

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday 4:25 PM (ET). Last season Panthers scored 38 and 48 points on the Buccaneers who collapsed late in the season. After full offseason QB Cam Newton & Co. could be an even bigger enigma for young Tampa Bay defense.
Pick: Panthers 30-26, Result: Buccaneers 16-10
Against The Spread: Panthers (-2.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos, Sunday 8:20 PM (ET). Peyton Manning has yet to face real game situation after a long long time away from the NFL. Preseason is one thing, regular season something completely different. Pittsburgh will try to pressure him, the problem is, Steelers have problems of their own with injuries on the O-line which could result in QB Roethlisberger being pressured all day. I’m going with a home team here.
Pick: Broncos 24-18, Result: Broncos 31-19
Against The Spread:  Broncos (-1.5)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens, Monday 7:00 PM (ET). This is one of the 6 games between two division rivals in Week 1 of the NFL. Its alway nice to start the new season with a win, especially if that comes against division rival. The Ravens will be too much for the Bengals who couldn’t beat a playoff team in 2011.
Pick: Ravens 26-17, Result: 44-17
Against The Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders, Monday 10:15 PM (ET). When this two division rivals met in the last couple of years they always scored above average points. I expect the same on Monday Night with both defenses being the weakest link of each team.
Pick: Raiders 28-27, Result: Chargers 22-14
Against The Spread: Raiders (+1.5)


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